Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 3.724794 4.453776 5.267382 6.239771 7.367181 8.629938 10.147996
2025-07-13 2.859688 3.844418 5.056893 6.646779 8.662241 11.116435 14.313434
2025-07-20 2.253656 3.343516 4.799333 6.857417 9.657853 13.296672 18.336119
2025-07-27 1.883468 3.040548 4.696500 7.188501 10.781128 15.699093 22.848096
2025-08-03 1.528959 2.670324 4.410942 7.183100 11.391288 17.422469 26.567073
2025-08-10 1.207607 2.276048 4.007701 6.917106 11.550891 18.478105 29.391455
2025-08-17 0.967248 1.960373 3.665081 6.675334 11.685853 19.468533 32.159130
2025-08-24 0.817196 1.769778 3.491975 6.671160 12.172618 21.008096 35.851012
2025-08-31 0.699208 1.613401 3.349499 6.690418 12.683790 22.609028 39.741337
2025-09-07 0.591070 1.453002 3.171415 6.615530 13.013227 23.924396 43.251811
2025-09-14 0.477625 1.255937 2.889229 6.304400 12.880571 24.438633 45.456381
2025-09-21 0.410797 1.147383 2.765005 6.275517 13.249805 25.829569 49.225139
2025-09-28 0.351162 1.044243 2.639222 6.234157 13.604949 27.249688 53.199999
2025-10-05 0.330509 1.033931 2.714592 6.618320 14.823599 30.325028 60.324433
2025-10-12 0.299636 0.989799 2.706031 6.821089 15.698871 32.829884 66.587277
2025-10-19 0.279510 0.970485 2.752236 7.148373 16.855997 35.944268 74.164298
2025-10-26 0.243967 0.897971 2.656972 7.142309 17.314059 37.747341 79.406436
2025-11-02 0.201795 0.793620 2.462616 6.877446 17.187977 38.391852 82.483123
2025-11-09 0.167489 0.703891 2.289332 6.636839 17.084729 39.063929 85.642187
2025-11-16 0.146892 0.654212 2.215927 6.632668 17.508516 40.831197 91.051833
2025-11-23 0.129742 0.611677 2.155062 6.651822 17.985749 42.738670 96.851546
2025-11-30 0.112170 0.561914 2.063592 6.577314 18.232957 44.173697 101.773580
2025-12-07 0.091320 0.491530 1.894746 6.267774 17.879464 44.286855 103.972658